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ANC hits historic low as 2026 local election results emerge

South Africa’s once-dominant African National Congress was headed for its worst-ever election score on Thursday, with half of the results counted from local government polls giving it nearly 32 per cent of the vote.

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The party of liberation hero and political prisoner Nelson Mandela has governed since the advent of democracy in 1994, but has seen its support steadily drop in recent years.

After more than half of the votes cast at Wednesday’s polls had been counted, the ANC had a score of 31.8 per cent, according to the election authority.

It was followed by the liberal Democratic Alliance (DA) at 26.3 per cent, it said.

From nearly 70 per cent of the national vote in 2004, the ANC fell below 50 per cent for the first time at the 2021 municipal elections when it won 46 per cent.

Failing water supplies

At the 2024 national elections, it managed just over 40 per cent and was forced to accept a unity government with nine other parties, including the DA.

The party now led by President Cyril Ramaphosa has borne the brunt of criticism about years of municipal mismanagement that have left South Africans grappling with failing water supplies, persistent power cuts and crumbling public services.

It has also been accused of corruption and mismanagement, while splinter parties have eaten away at its support base.

The results of this week’s local ballot will offer a key measure of the sentiment of voters ahead of the 2029 general election.

Former president Jacob Zuma’s breakaway opposition uMkhonto weSizwe (MK) party was coming third with 7.9 per cent at the halfway mark, below levels suggested in opinion polls.

Picture: Gallo Images/Per-Anders Pettersson

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Coalitions

About 15.9 million of 29.2 million registered voters cast ballots, the electoral commission said, putting turnout at an estimated 54.5 per cent, up from 46 per cent in the pandemic-hit 2021 local elections.

Control of the country’s eight major metropolitan municipalities is up for grabs, alongside dozens of district and local councils.

The MK had been tipped as one of the few parties capable of securing an outright majority in the eastern port city of Durban.

But projections by the Council for Scientific and Industrial Research (CSIR), a state-funded research body, put its support at 32 per cent.

The DA, meanwhile, was forecast to retain control of tourist magnet Cape Town with 56 per cent of the vote, with its leader, Geordin Hill-Lewis, already declaring victory.

The party was also leading with 34 per cent in Johannesburg, the country’s financial capital, after running a spirited campaign spearheaded by its former leader Helen Zille, 75, according to CSIR projections.

With outright majorities far from assured in several major cities, the results could usher in another round of complex coalition negotiations, with parties bargaining to assemble the alliances needed to govern.

Final results are expected on Sunday.

Featured image: Gallo Images/Per-Anders Pettersson

Originally published by African Insider.

Also see: President Cyril Ramaphosa speaks on impact of country’s growing violence

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